COMUNICACIÓN DEL RIESGO DE INUNDACIÓN
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https://doi.org/10.4215/rm2022.e21027
Resumen
El presente trabajo busca presentar una visión general y las tendencias en la investigación en la comunicación del riesgo de inundación entre 2010 y 2020. Para ello, se utilizó el análisis bibliométrico como técnica de investigación. Como principales resultados, tenemos la identificación de 34 artículos, que fueron publicados principalmente a partir de 2014. La mayor parte de los autores proviene de países europeos, norteamericanos y asiáticos. También puede haber una ausencia de autores de países en desarrollo de África y América Latina, áreas reconocidas como vulnerables y que sufren impactos desproporcionados de los desastres. Los estudios realizados hasta el momento han presentado resultados elucidantes respecto a los efectos de la existencia o ausencia de una comunicación efectiva del riesgo en la sociedad.
Palabras-clave: Información de Riesgo. Resiliencia. Bibliometría. Redes de Colaboración
Citas
ABUNYEWAH, M; GAJENDRAN, T; MAUND, K; OKYERE, S A. Linking information provision to behavioural intentions Moderating and mediating effects of message clarity and source credibility. International Journal of Disaster Resilience In The Built Environment, vol. 11, no. 1, p. 100–118, 2019.
ALFIERI, L.; BISSELINK, B.; DOTTORI, F.; NAUMANN, G.; DE ROO, A.; SALAMON, P.; WYSER, K.; FEYEN, L. Global projections of river flood risk in a warmer world. Earth’s Future, vol. 5, no. 2, p. 171–182, 1 Feb. 2017.
BERTOLA, M.; VIGLIONE, A.; LUN, D.; HALL, J.; BLÖSCHL, G. Flood Trends in Europe: Are Changes in Small and Big Floods Different? Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. Vol.24, p.1805-182210, 2020.
BHATTACHARYA-MIS, N.; LAMOND, J. Mapping community knowledge of vulnerability of value: A case study in the UK. International Journal of Safety and Security Engineering, vol. 5, n.3, p. 266–279, 2015.
CHAN, E Y Y; MAN, A Y T; LAM, H C Y. Scientific evidence on natural disasters and health emergency and disaster risk management in Asian rural-based area. British Medical Bulletin, vol. 129, n.1, p. 91–105, 2019.
DE BOER, J.; BOTZEN, W.J.W.; TERPSTRA, T. Improving flood risk communication by focusing on prevention-focused motivation. Risk Analysis, vol. 34, n.2, p. 309–322, 2014.
DE DOMINICIS, S; CRANO, W D; CANCELLIERI, U G; MOSCO, B; BONNES, M; HOHMAN, Z; BONAIUTO, M. Vested interest and environmental risk communication: improving willingness to cope with impending disasters. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, vol. 44, no. 5, p. 364–374, 2014.
EM-DAT. The International Disaster Database. 2021. Disponível em: Acesso em 04/10/2021
FELDMAN, D.; CONTRERAS, S.; KARLIN, B.; BASOLO, V.; MATTHEW, R.; SANDERS, B.; HOUSTON, D.; CHEUNG, W.; GOODRICH, K.; REYES, A.; SERRANO, K.; SCHUBERT, J.; LUKE, A. Communicating flood risk: Looking back and forward at traditional and social media outlets. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, vol. 15, p. 43–51, 2016.
FONSECA, M. N.; GARCIAS, C.M. Comunicação de risco de inundação: instrumento fundamental da gestão de riscos de desastres. DRd – Desenvolvimento Regional em debate, vol.10, p.1139-1159, 2020
GOOSEN, H.; DE GROOT-REICHWEIN, M.A.M.; MASSELINK, L.; KOEKOEK, A.; SWART, R.; BESSEMBINDER, J.; WITTE, J.M.P.; STUYT, L.; BLOM-ZANDSTRA, G.; IMMERZEEL, W. Climate adaptation services for the Netherlands: an operational approach to support spatial adaptation planning. Regional environmental change, vol.14, p.1035-1048, 2014
HAER, T.; BOTZEN, W.J.W.; AERTS, J.C.J.H. The effectiveness of flood risk communication strategies and the influence of social networks-Insights from an agent-based model. Environmental Science and Policy, vol. 60, p. 44–52, 2016.
HIRABAYASHI, Y.; MAHENDRAN, R.; KOIRALA, S.; KONOSHIMA, L.; YAMAZAKI, D.; WATANABE, S.; KIM, H.; KANAE, S. Global flood risk under climate change. Nature Climate Change, vol. 3, no. 9, p. 816–821, 2013.
HANDMER, J. Are Flood Warnings Futile? Risk communication in emergencies. The Australasian Journal of Disaster and Trauma Studies, vol.2, 200
HÖPPNER, C., BRÜNDL, M., BUCHECKER, M. Risk Communication and Natural Hazards. CapHaz project. Birmensdorf, Switzerland, 2010.
IDMC. Internal Displacement Monitoring Center. Global report of internal displacement. 2017. Disponível em: Acesso em 03/10/2021.
IDMC. Internal Displacement Monitoring Center. Global report of internal displacement. 2019. Disponível em: Acesso em 03/10/2021.
KAKINUMA, K.; PUMA, M.J; HIRABAYASHI, Y.; TANOUE, M.; BAPTISTA, E.A; KANAE, S. Flood-induced population displacements in the world. Environmental Research Letters, vol. 15, no. 12, p.124029, 2020.
KELLENS, W.; TERPSTRA, T.; DE MAEYER, P. Perception and Communication of Flood Risks: A Systematic Review of Empirical Research. Risk Analysis, vol. 33, no. 1, p. 24–49, 2013.
KERIM, K.; ZEYNEP, I. Assessment of Urban Flood Risk Factors Using Monte Carlo Analytical Hierarchy Process. Natural Hazards Review, vol. 22, no. 4, p. 4021048, 1 Nov. 2021.
KIRCHHOFF, C.J.; LEMOS, M.C.; DESSAI, S. Actionable knowledge for environmental decision making: broadening the usability of climate science. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, vol.38, n.1, p.393-414, 2013
KREIBICH, H.; MÜLLER, M.; SCHRÖTER, K.; THIEKEN, A.H. New insights into flood warning reception and emergency response by affected parties. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, vol. 17, no. 12, p. 2075–2092, 2017.
LAMOND, J.; ADEKOLA, O.; ADELEKAN, I.; EZE, B.; UJOH, F. Information for Adaptation and Response to Flooding, Multi-Stakeholder Perspectives in Nigeria. Climate, vol. 7, no. 4, p. 46, 2019.
LIESKE, D.J.; WADE, T.; RONESS, L.A. Climate change awareness and strategies for communicating the risk of coastal flooding: A Canadian Maritime case example. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, vol. 140, p. 83–94, 2014.
MAIDL, E.; BUCHECKER, M. Raising risk preparedness by flood risk communication. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, vol. 15, no. 7, p. 1577–1595, 2015.
MILOJEVIC, A.; NIEDZWIEDZ, C.L.; PEARCE, J.; MILNER, J.; MACKENZIE, I.A.; DOHERTY, R.M.; WILKINSON, P. Socioeconomic and urban-rural differentials in exposure to air pollution and mortality burden in England. Environmental Health. Vol.16, n.1, 2017
MORIOKA, S.N.; CARVALHO, M.M. Sustentabilidade e gestão de projetos: um estudo bibliométrico. Production, v. 26, n. 3, p. 656-674, 2016
MUNRO, A.; KOVATS, R.S.; RUBIN, G.J.; WAITE, T.D.; BONE, A.; ARMSTRONG, B. English National Study of Flooding and Health Study Group. Effect of evacuation and displacement on the association between flooding and mental health outcomes: a cross-sectional analysis of UK survey data. Lancet Planet Health. Vol.1. n.4, p.134-141, 2017
NICHOLLS, R.J; LINCKE, D.; HINKEL, J.; BROWN, S; VAFEIDIS, A.T; MEYSSIGNAC, B.; HANSON, S.; MERKENS, J-L.; FANG, J. A global analysis of subsidence, relative sea-level change and coastal flood exposure. Nature Climate Change, vol. 11, no. 4, p. 338–342, 2021.
O’SULLIVAN, J. J.; BRADFORD, R. A.; BONAIUTO, M.; DE DOMINICIS, S.; ROTKO, P.; AALTONEN, J.; WAYLEN, K.; LANGAN, S. J. Enhancing flood resilience through improved risk communications. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, vol. 12, no. 7, p. 2271–2282, 2012.
OBERACKER, C.; RIMBÖCK, A.; MÜLLER, U. Flood risk communication. WasserWirtschaft, vol. 108, no. 12, p. 25–29, 2018.
OCHA. Natural disasters in latin america and the caribbean 2000-2019. 2020. Disponível em: < https://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/20191203-ocha-desastres_naturales.pdf> Acesso em 03/10/2021.
PARKER, D.J., TUNSTALL, S.M., MCCARTHY, S. New insights into the benefits of flood warnings: Results from a household survey in England and Wales. Environmental Hazards, vol.7, n.3, p.193-210, 2007.
ROLLASON, E.; BRACKEN, L. J.; HARDY, R. J.; LARGE, A. R.G. Rethinking flood risk communication. Natural Hazards, vol. 92, no. 3, p. 1665–1686, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-018-3273-4.
SAMADDAR, S; MURASE, M; OKADA, N. Information for Disaster Preparedness: A Social Network Approach to Rainwater Harvesting Technology Dissemination. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, vol. 5, no. 2, p. 95–109, 2014.
STEWART, R.M.; RASHID, H. Community strategies to improve flood risk communication in the Red River Basin, Manitoba, Canada. Disasters, vol. 35, no. 3, p. 554–576, 2011.
TANOUE, M.; HIRABAYASHI, Y.; IKEUCHI, H. Global-scale river flood vulnerability in the last 50 years. Scientific Reports, vol.6, n.1, p. 36021, 2016.
TELLMAN, B; SULLIVAN, J A; KUHN, C; KETTNER, A J; DOYLE, C S; BRAKENRIDGE, G R; ERICKSON, T A; SLAYBACK, D A. Satellite imaging reveals increased proportion of population exposed to floods. Nature, vol. 596, no. 7870, p. 80–86, 2021.
UGOLINI, D; BONASSI, S; CRISTAUDO, A; LEONCINI, G; RATTO, G B; NERI, M. Temporal trend, geographic distribution, and publication quality in asbestos research. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, vol. 22, n.9, p. 6957–6967, 2015.
WAITE, T.D.; CHAINTARLI, K.; BECK, C.R. et al. The English national cohort study of flooding and health: cross-sectional analysis of mental health outcomes at year one. BMC Public Health, vol.17, p.129, 2017.
WINSEMIUS, H.C.; AERTS, J.C.J.H.; VAN BEEK, L.P.H.; BIERKENS, M.F.P.; BOUWMAN, A.; JONGMAN, B.; KWADIJK, J.C.J.; LIGTVOET, W.; LUCAS, P.L.; VAN VUUREN, D.P.; WARD, P.J. Global drivers of future river flood risk. Nature Climate Change, vol. 6, n. 4, p.381–385, 2016.
YAMADA, F; KAKIMOTO, R; YAMAMOTO, M; FUJIMI, T; TANAKA, N. Implementation of community flood risk communication in Kumamoto, Japan. Journal of Advanced Transportation, vol. 45, n. 2, p. 117–128, 2011.
ALFIERI, L.; BISSELINK, B.; DOTTORI, F.; NAUMANN, G.; DE ROO, A.; SALAMON, P.; WYSER, K.; FEYEN, L. Global projections of river flood risk in a warmer world. Earth’s Future, vol. 5, no. 2, p. 171–182, 1 Feb. 2017.
BERTOLA, M.; VIGLIONE, A.; LUN, D.; HALL, J.; BLÖSCHL, G. Flood Trends in Europe: Are Changes in Small and Big Floods Different? Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. Vol.24, p.1805-182210, 2020.
BHATTACHARYA-MIS, N.; LAMOND, J. Mapping community knowledge of vulnerability of value: A case study in the UK. International Journal of Safety and Security Engineering, vol. 5, n.3, p. 266–279, 2015.
CHAN, E Y Y; MAN, A Y T; LAM, H C Y. Scientific evidence on natural disasters and health emergency and disaster risk management in Asian rural-based area. British Medical Bulletin, vol. 129, n.1, p. 91–105, 2019.
DE BOER, J.; BOTZEN, W.J.W.; TERPSTRA, T. Improving flood risk communication by focusing on prevention-focused motivation. Risk Analysis, vol. 34, n.2, p. 309–322, 2014.
DE DOMINICIS, S; CRANO, W D; CANCELLIERI, U G; MOSCO, B; BONNES, M; HOHMAN, Z; BONAIUTO, M. Vested interest and environmental risk communication: improving willingness to cope with impending disasters. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, vol. 44, no. 5, p. 364–374, 2014.
EM-DAT. The International Disaster Database. 2021. Disponível em:
FELDMAN, D.; CONTRERAS, S.; KARLIN, B.; BASOLO, V.; MATTHEW, R.; SANDERS, B.; HOUSTON, D.; CHEUNG, W.; GOODRICH, K.; REYES, A.; SERRANO, K.; SCHUBERT, J.; LUKE, A. Communicating flood risk: Looking back and forward at traditional and social media outlets. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, vol. 15, p. 43–51, 2016.
FONSECA, M. N.; GARCIAS, C.M. Comunicação de risco de inundação: instrumento fundamental da gestão de riscos de desastres. DRd – Desenvolvimento Regional em debate, vol.10, p.1139-1159, 2020
GOOSEN, H.; DE GROOT-REICHWEIN, M.A.M.; MASSELINK, L.; KOEKOEK, A.; SWART, R.; BESSEMBINDER, J.; WITTE, J.M.P.; STUYT, L.; BLOM-ZANDSTRA, G.; IMMERZEEL, W. Climate adaptation services for the Netherlands: an operational approach to support spatial adaptation planning. Regional environmental change, vol.14, p.1035-1048, 2014
HAER, T.; BOTZEN, W.J.W.; AERTS, J.C.J.H. The effectiveness of flood risk communication strategies and the influence of social networks-Insights from an agent-based model. Environmental Science and Policy, vol. 60, p. 44–52, 2016.
HIRABAYASHI, Y.; MAHENDRAN, R.; KOIRALA, S.; KONOSHIMA, L.; YAMAZAKI, D.; WATANABE, S.; KIM, H.; KANAE, S. Global flood risk under climate change. Nature Climate Change, vol. 3, no. 9, p. 816–821, 2013.
HANDMER, J. Are Flood Warnings Futile? Risk communication in emergencies. The Australasian Journal of Disaster and Trauma Studies, vol.2, 200
HÖPPNER, C., BRÜNDL, M., BUCHECKER, M. Risk Communication and Natural Hazards. CapHaz project. Birmensdorf, Switzerland, 2010.
IDMC. Internal Displacement Monitoring Center. Global report of internal displacement. 2017. Disponível em:
IDMC. Internal Displacement Monitoring Center. Global report of internal displacement. 2019. Disponível em:
KAKINUMA, K.; PUMA, M.J; HIRABAYASHI, Y.; TANOUE, M.; BAPTISTA, E.A; KANAE, S. Flood-induced population displacements in the world. Environmental Research Letters, vol. 15, no. 12, p.124029, 2020.
KELLENS, W.; TERPSTRA, T.; DE MAEYER, P. Perception and Communication of Flood Risks: A Systematic Review of Empirical Research. Risk Analysis, vol. 33, no. 1, p. 24–49, 2013.
KERIM, K.; ZEYNEP, I. Assessment of Urban Flood Risk Factors Using Monte Carlo Analytical Hierarchy Process. Natural Hazards Review, vol. 22, no. 4, p. 4021048, 1 Nov. 2021.
KIRCHHOFF, C.J.; LEMOS, M.C.; DESSAI, S. Actionable knowledge for environmental decision making: broadening the usability of climate science. Annual Review of Environment and Resources, vol.38, n.1, p.393-414, 2013
KREIBICH, H.; MÜLLER, M.; SCHRÖTER, K.; THIEKEN, A.H. New insights into flood warning reception and emergency response by affected parties. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, vol. 17, no. 12, p. 2075–2092, 2017.
LAMOND, J.; ADEKOLA, O.; ADELEKAN, I.; EZE, B.; UJOH, F. Information for Adaptation and Response to Flooding, Multi-Stakeholder Perspectives in Nigeria. Climate, vol. 7, no. 4, p. 46, 2019.
LIESKE, D.J.; WADE, T.; RONESS, L.A. Climate change awareness and strategies for communicating the risk of coastal flooding: A Canadian Maritime case example. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, vol. 140, p. 83–94, 2014.
MAIDL, E.; BUCHECKER, M. Raising risk preparedness by flood risk communication. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, vol. 15, no. 7, p. 1577–1595, 2015.
MILOJEVIC, A.; NIEDZWIEDZ, C.L.; PEARCE, J.; MILNER, J.; MACKENZIE, I.A.; DOHERTY, R.M.; WILKINSON, P. Socioeconomic and urban-rural differentials in exposure to air pollution and mortality burden in England. Environmental Health. Vol.16, n.1, 2017
MORIOKA, S.N.; CARVALHO, M.M. Sustentabilidade e gestão de projetos: um estudo bibliométrico. Production, v. 26, n. 3, p. 656-674, 2016
MUNRO, A.; KOVATS, R.S.; RUBIN, G.J.; WAITE, T.D.; BONE, A.; ARMSTRONG, B. English National Study of Flooding and Health Study Group. Effect of evacuation and displacement on the association between flooding and mental health outcomes: a cross-sectional analysis of UK survey data. Lancet Planet Health. Vol.1. n.4, p.134-141, 2017
NICHOLLS, R.J; LINCKE, D.; HINKEL, J.; BROWN, S; VAFEIDIS, A.T; MEYSSIGNAC, B.; HANSON, S.; MERKENS, J-L.; FANG, J. A global analysis of subsidence, relative sea-level change and coastal flood exposure. Nature Climate Change, vol. 11, no. 4, p. 338–342, 2021.
O’SULLIVAN, J. J.; BRADFORD, R. A.; BONAIUTO, M.; DE DOMINICIS, S.; ROTKO, P.; AALTONEN, J.; WAYLEN, K.; LANGAN, S. J. Enhancing flood resilience through improved risk communications. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, vol. 12, no. 7, p. 2271–2282, 2012.
OBERACKER, C.; RIMBÖCK, A.; MÜLLER, U. Flood risk communication. WasserWirtschaft, vol. 108, no. 12, p. 25–29, 2018.
OCHA. Natural disasters in latin america and the caribbean 2000-2019. 2020. Disponível em: < https://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/20191203-ocha-desastres_naturales.pdf> Acesso em 03/10/2021.
PARKER, D.J., TUNSTALL, S.M., MCCARTHY, S. New insights into the benefits of flood warnings: Results from a household survey in England and Wales. Environmental Hazards, vol.7, n.3, p.193-210, 2007.
ROLLASON, E.; BRACKEN, L. J.; HARDY, R. J.; LARGE, A. R.G. Rethinking flood risk communication. Natural Hazards, vol. 92, no. 3, p. 1665–1686, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-018-3273-4.
SAMADDAR, S; MURASE, M; OKADA, N. Information for Disaster Preparedness: A Social Network Approach to Rainwater Harvesting Technology Dissemination. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, vol. 5, no. 2, p. 95–109, 2014.
STEWART, R.M.; RASHID, H. Community strategies to improve flood risk communication in the Red River Basin, Manitoba, Canada. Disasters, vol. 35, no. 3, p. 554–576, 2011.
TANOUE, M.; HIRABAYASHI, Y.; IKEUCHI, H. Global-scale river flood vulnerability in the last 50 years. Scientific Reports, vol.6, n.1, p. 36021, 2016.
TELLMAN, B; SULLIVAN, J A; KUHN, C; KETTNER, A J; DOYLE, C S; BRAKENRIDGE, G R; ERICKSON, T A; SLAYBACK, D A. Satellite imaging reveals increased proportion of population exposed to floods. Nature, vol. 596, no. 7870, p. 80–86, 2021.
UGOLINI, D; BONASSI, S; CRISTAUDO, A; LEONCINI, G; RATTO, G B; NERI, M. Temporal trend, geographic distribution, and publication quality in asbestos research. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, vol. 22, n.9, p. 6957–6967, 2015.
WAITE, T.D.; CHAINTARLI, K.; BECK, C.R. et al. The English national cohort study of flooding and health: cross-sectional analysis of mental health outcomes at year one. BMC Public Health, vol.17, p.129, 2017.
WINSEMIUS, H.C.; AERTS, J.C.J.H.; VAN BEEK, L.P.H.; BIERKENS, M.F.P.; BOUWMAN, A.; JONGMAN, B.; KWADIJK, J.C.J.; LIGTVOET, W.; LUCAS, P.L.; VAN VUUREN, D.P.; WARD, P.J. Global drivers of future river flood risk. Nature Climate Change, vol. 6, n. 4, p.381–385, 2016.
YAMADA, F; KAKIMOTO, R; YAMAMOTO, M; FUJIMI, T; TANAKA, N. Implementation of community flood risk communication in Kumamoto, Japan. Journal of Advanced Transportation, vol. 45, n. 2, p. 117–128, 2011.
Publicado
15/02/2023
##submission.howToCite##
FONSECA, Murilo Noli da; DA SILVA, Luciene Pimentel; GARCIAS, Carlos Mello.
COMUNICACIÓN DEL RIESGO DE INUNDACIÓN.
Mercator, Fortaleza, v. 21, feb. 2023.
ISSN 1984-2201.
Disponible en: <http://www.mercator.ufc.br/mercator/article/view/e21027>. Fecha de acceso: 12 feb. 2026
doi: https://doi.org/10.4215/rm2022.e21027.
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